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|    BAMA    |    Science Research Echo    |    1,586 messages    |
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|    Message 660 of 1,586    |
|    Roger Nelson to All    |
|    No Turning Back: West Antarctic Glaciers    |
|    13 May 14 12:26:30    |
      West Antarctic Glaciers in Irreversible Decline               May 12, 2014: Over the years, as temperatures around the world have ratcheted       upward, climate change researchers have kept a wary eye on one place perhaps       more than any other: The West Antarctic Ice Sheet, and particularly the       fastest melting part of it, the glaciers that flow into the Amundsen Sea.               In that region, six glaciers hang in a precarious balance, partially supported       by land, and partially floating in waters just offshore. There's enough water       frozen in the ice sheet that feeds these icy giants to raise global sea levels       by 4 feet-if they were to melt. That's troubling because the glaciers are       melting. Moreover, a new study finds that their decline appears to be       unstoppable.               https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W2pYHMx5bN8               A new ScienceCast video lays out the evidence for irreversible decline of the       West Antarctic glaciers. Play it               "We've passed the point of no return," says Eric Rignot, a glaciologist       working jointly at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory and the University of       California, Irvine. Rignot and colleagues have used 19 years of satellite       radar data to map the fast-melting glaciers. In their paper, which has been       accepted for publication in Geophysical Research Letters, they conclude that       "this sector of West Antarctica is undergoing a marine ice sheet instability       that will significantly contribute to sea level rise" in the centuries ahead.               A key concept in the Rignot study is the "grounding line"-the dividing line       between land and water underneath a glacier. Because virtually all melting       occurs where the glaciers' undersides touch the ocean, pinpointing the       grounding line is crucial for estimating melt rates.               The problem is, grounding lines are buried under thousands of feet of glacial       ice. "It's challenging for a human observer to figure out where they are,"       Rignot explains. "There's nothing obvious that sticks out on the surface to       say, `This is where the glacier goes afloat.'"               To find the hidden grounding lines, they examined radar images of the glaciers       made by the European Space Agency's Earth Remote Sensing satellites from 1992       to 2011. Glaciers flex in response to tides. By analyzing the flexing       motions, they were able to trace the grounding lines.               This led to a key discovery. In all the glaciers they studied, grounding       lines were rapidly retreating away from the sea.               http://tinyurl.com/lx4yhxn               Click on the image to view more animations related to this story. More               "In this sector, we are seeing retreat rates that we don't see anywhere else       on Earth," Rignot says. Smith Glacier's line moved the fastest, retreating 22       miles upstream. The other lines retreated from 6 to 19 miles.               As the glaciers melt and lose weight, they float off the land where they used       to sit. Water gets underneath the glacier and pushes the grounding line       inland. This, in turn, reduces friction between the glacier and its bed. The       glacier speeds up, stretches out and thins, which drives the grounding line to       retreat farther inland.               This is a "positive feedback loop" that leads to out of control melting.               The only natural factor that can slow or stop this process is a "pinning       point" in the bedrock -- a bump or projection that snags the glacier from       underneath and keeps it from sliding toward the sea. To investigate this       possibility, the researchers made a novel map of the bed beneath the glaciers       using radar and other data from satellites and NASA's airborne IceBridge       mission. The map revealed that the glaciers had already floated off many of       their small pinning points.               In short, there seems to be no turning back.               "At current melt rates," concludes Rignot, "these glaciers will be 'history'       within a few hundred years."               Credits:       Author: Dr. Tony Phillips | Production editor: Dr. Tony Phillips | Credit:       Science@NASA               Web Links: The Unstable West Antarctic Ice Sheet -- a primer Loss of       Glaciers Appears Unstoppable -- press release                       Regards,               Roger              --- D'Bridge 3.99        * Origin: NCS BBS - Houma, LoUiSiAna (1:3828/7)    |
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