XPost: uk.politics.misc 
 From: no@way.com 
  
 Incubus wrote: 
 > On 2019-10-30, nightjar  wrote: 
 >> On 30/10/2019 07:22, Vidcapper wrote: 
 >>> On 29/10/2019 16:47, nightjar wrote: 
 >> ... 
 >>>> That much of a swing would be very bad news for Boris. he would lose 
 >>>> even more seats than May did. Nothing as dramatic would be required for 
 >>>> him simply to not get a majority. Support for the two main parties 
 >>>> converging by about one standard deviation each ought to do it. A 
 >>>> resurgence in support for the Brexit Party, now that Brexit won't be 
 >>>> happening on 31st October could also be enough on its own. 
 >>>> 
 >>> 
 >>> I suspect the opposite will happen - now that 'No Deal' is apparently 
 >>> not an option, the BRexit Party will be left with just the hard live 
 >>> Leavers, with the others returning mostly to the Tories. 
 >> 
 >> A lot of Brexit Party supporters seem to think that Boris failing to get 
 >> Brexit done by 31st October will be enough to get more people supporting 
 >> them. 
 > 
 > Actually, a good many seem to be against what they now see as Nigel Farage 
 > blocking us from leaving the EU, which is an ironic turn of events.  The 
 > pragmatic ones are supporting Boris because they know we might never leave 
 at 
 > all if the insistence is on leaving without a deal.  Although I share their 
 > ideals, we have to deal with things as they are. 
 > 
  
 Perhaps Farage enjoyed the fight more than the victory? :-) 
  
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