From: notyalckram@gmail.com 
  
 On Tuesday, 29 October 2019 16:47:38 UTC, nightjar  wrote: 
 > On 29/10/2019 11:24, Keema's Nan wrote: 
 > > On 29 Oct 2019, nightjar wrote 
 > > (in article): 
 > ... 
 > >> A Conservative majority is, of course, is far from certain. 
 > > 
 > > Not according to the polls,.. 
 > 
 > Theresa May thought that too, when she called a snap election. 
 > 
 > ... 
 > >> While the 
 > >> median values for voting intentions would give Boris a good working 
 > >> majority, a hung parliament is still possible within the margins of 
 > >> error on those figures. 
 > > 
 > > You mean taking the extreme highest error for more Labour seats, and the 
 > > extreme highest error for less Tory seats. 
 > 
 > That much of a swing would be very bad news for Boris. he would lose 
 > even more seats than May did. Nothing as dramatic would be required for 
 > him simply to not get a majority. Support for the two main parties 
 > converging by about one standard deviation each ought to do it. A 
 > resurgence in support for the Brexit Party, now that Brexit won't be 
 > happening on 31st October could also be enough on its own. 
 > 
 > 
 > 
 > -- 
 > Colin Bignell 
  
 He will lose seats in Scotland and big cities, especially London. 
  
 He will struggle to gain seats of Labour Leave areas as most of these as 
 very 
 safe Labour. 
  
 The Brexit Party may run hard too, since it hasn't happened yet. 
  
 --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05 
  * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)