XPost: uk.radio.amateur, uk.politics.misc, uk.d-i-y
From: tims_new_home@yahoo.com
"nightjar" wrote in message
news:YMCdnZDnRYaYlT7AnZ2dnUU78I_NnZ2d@giganews.com...
> On 12/10/2019 15:40, Stephen Cole wrote:
>> Dave Plowman (News) wrote:
>>> In article ,
>>> Cursitor Doom wrote:
>>>> I still have a legitimate interest, mate. And if there's another
>>>> Referendum I'll be voting in it again, same as before, just like
>>>> everyone else who voted Leave - plus not a few former Remainers who've
>>>> seen the light over the last 3 years.
>>>
>>> Oddly, most the polls seem to show the opposite has happened.
>>>
>>
>> That€€€s no surprise as the electorate has changed; a million or more dead
>> Leave voters and a couple million freshly-minted teenage voters since
>> June
>> 2016. The longer that Brexit is fobbed off before a 2nd referendum the
>> more
>> the scales will tip toward Remain.
>>
>
> It is more complicated than that.
>
> As the population ages, it tends to get more right wing, so the ones that
> die off are replaced by others and the balance due to age remains much the
> same over time. OTOH, there is a generational effect, with each generation
> currently tending to be slightly more left wing than the one before. That
> means that, although the older a generation gets the more right wing, on
> average, it becomes, it doesn't become quite as right wing as the one
> before it.
>
> However, to add to all that, people with higher levels of education (A
> level or above) appear to be more likely to support remain and the overall
> level of education of the population is rising a few percent each year.
>
> The net effect is that there will be a trend towards greater support for
> remain, but I'm not sure that 3-4 years is long enough for that to make a
> significant difference.
>
> Of greater influence are probably dissatisfaction with the mess that the
> Brexiteers have made of the process so far
ITYF it was a Remainer who made a mess of the process
tim
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)
|