XPost: uk.radio.amateur, uk.politics.misc 
 From: pamela.uklegal@gmail.com 
  
 On 16:34  16 Jul 2019, Norman Wells  wrote: 
 > On 16/07/2019 15:47, Pamela wrote: 
 >> On 09:02  16 Jul 2019, Norman Wells  wrote: 
 >>> On 16/07/2019 07:19, Stephen Cole wrote: 
 >>>> Pamela  wrote: 
 >>>>> On 06:06  15 Jul 2019, Stephen Cole  
 >>>>> wrote: 
 >>>>>> Norman Wells  wrote: 
 >>>>>>> On 14/07/2019 12:07, Stephen Cole wrote: 
 >>>>>>>> 
 >>>>>>>> 
 >>>>>>>> Change is coming, OM; Labour landslide at the General Election 
 >>>>>>>> Boris calls in a panic shortly after he is forced to revoke A50 
 >>>>>>>> in October. 
 >>>>>>> 
 >>>>>>> He's going to call a General Election is he? 
 >>>>>>> 
 >>>>>>> Can you tell us why please? 
 >>>>>> 
 >>>>>> Because he's going to revoke A50 and that's going to make the ERG 
 >>>>>> try to bring him down and the easiest way to avoid that in the 
 >>>>>> short term is to call an election. 
 >>>>> 
 >>>>> Boris may have painted himself into a corner but he daren't revoke 
 >>>>> Art.50 or he'll get thrown out even faster than May was. 
 >>>>> 
 >>>> 
 >>>> Can€€€€€€€€t get thrown out if you immediately call a general 
 >>>> election. 
 >>> 
 >>> Lose it though, and you can and indeed will be. 
 >>> 
 >>> But a general election can't just be called by the Prime Minister. 
 >>> Parliament has to agree to it with over two thirds of all MPs voting 
 >>> for it. 
 >> 
 >> Or a simple majority can vote to show no confidence in the government. 
 >> 
 >>> With the two main parties at present languishing in the polls and 
 >>> facing the prospect of losing a large number of seats if there were to 
 >>> be such an election, I don't see that number voting for one.  The 
 >>> words 'turkeys' and 'Christmas' come inexplicably to mind. 
 >> 
 >> Circumstances (such as Brexit deadlines, an incompetent scandal prone 
 >> PM, deeply split party, etc) may mean Tory turkeys get that early 
 >> Christmas. 
 > 
 > Sorry, languishing at just 18% in the polls, Labour won't want a general 
 > election any more than the Tories.  However much they bluster, they 
 > won't therefore table a motion of no confidence that could have that 
 > effect.  And no-one else can, so it's not going to happen. 
  
 Labour may prefer the LibDems in power to the Tories and that is a 
 possible outcome 
  
 https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/06/28/what- 
 would-it-take-labour-win-general-election-new 
  
 Voter support for the parties, especially TBP, depends strongly on what 
 Boris does. 
  
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