From: hex@unseen.ac.am 
  
 On 15/07/2019 10:08, R. Mark Clayton wrote: 
 > On Sunday, 14 July 2019 12:55:50 UTC+1, Norman Wells  wrote: 
 >> On 14/07/2019 12:07, Stephen Cole wrote: 
 >> 
 >>> Change is coming, OM; Labour landslide at the General Election Boris 
 calls 
 >>> in a panic shortly after he is forced to revoke A50 in October. 
 >> 
 >> He's going to call a General Election is he? 
 >> 
 >> Can you tell us why please? 
 > 
 > Two main possible reasons: - 
 > 
 > 1. Failing to learn the lessons of history (2017 to be precise) and being a 
 bit of a chancer he decides to gamble on the bounce of his elevation and 
 mopping up much of the BP vote and calls one on purpose. 
  
 As always, it will depend on the polls.  He will only propose a general 
 election if they look favourable, and even then with extreme caution 
 because of what happened last time.  Otherwise, he will stick it out as 
 long as he can towards 2022 when the next one must be held. 
  
 > 2. Enough Tory remainers vote against a hard Brexit in a vote of 
 confidence, 
 he still can't get one through in the following fortnight and Parliament is 
 dissolved in accordance with the Fixed Term Parliament Act. 
  
 Well, that's not him calling one, especially not in a panic, is it? 
 That would be force majeure. 
  
 But you seem to ignore the fact that Labour, currently languishing at 
 18% in the polls, would stand to lose a very large number of their seats 
 were they to force a general election, which would be the result if they 
 tabled a motion of no confidence and were unfortunate enough to win it. 
 It's not really in their interests to table one then, is it? 
  
 You also ignore the salutary unifying effect a vote of confidence has on 
 those likely to lose their jobs. 
  
 The Parliamentary numbers are still in Boris's favour.  Even if there 
 were to be an unlikely vote of no confidence, however many Tory 
 defectors there may be would probably be matched by Labour Brexiteers 
 from staunch Leave constituencies, others from marginals, and more from 
 those who just want to get the whole situation resolved one way or another. 
  
 It's not in the interests of either main party at the moment to have a 
 general election.  So, unless something dramatic happens in the polls, I 
 can't see either a motion of no confidence being tabled or an early 
 general election being called. 
  
 Sorry about that.  You'll just have to bide your time. 
  
 --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05 
  * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)