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| Subj: Canada's economy picks up speed. |
XPost: can.francais, soc.culture.quebec From: abc@123.cl Canada's economy picks up speed in November January 29, 2010 Canada's economy grew more than expected in November, Statistics Canada reported Friday, led by the goods and services sectors. OTTAWA € Canada's economy grew more than expected in November as the wholesale, oil and mining sectors helped accelerate the pace of recovery. Gross domestic product rose 0.4 per cent during the month, the third consecutive monthly increase, Statistics Canada reported Friday. It also revised GDP for October to 0.3 per cent from 0.2 per cent and September's growth to 0.5 per cent from 0.4 per cent. "As was the case in September and October, most major industrial sectors increased their production," it said. "Mining and oil and gas extraction, and wholesale trade accounted for about 60 per cent of the overall growth," the agency said. Economists had expected growth of between 0.1 and 0.3 per cent in November. "The Canadian economy does indeed appear to be gathering momentum, despite some recent disappointments on the employment front," said Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets. "While much of the growth in November was concentrated in a few sectors, most industries were on the plus-side as the recovery broadens and puts down firmer roots." Canada recorded a 0.1 per cent gain in the third quarter, ending a three-quarter recession that began in late 2008. Fourth-quarter GDP results are to be reported March 1. Millan Mulraine, economics strategist at TD Securities, said Friday's data "suggest a significant pickup in the pace of Canadian GDP in the last quarter of the year as the Canadian economy shifted up a gear or two." "In the coming months, the Canadian economic recovery should remain intact as the significant monetary and fiscal policy stimulus administered to the Canadian economy gathers traction, though the recovery is likely to remain both slow and fragile." Statistics Canada said goods-producing industries were up 0.6 per cent in November, while the services sector increased 0.4 per cent. The mining sector gained 1.8 per cent € led mainly by oil and gas extraction. Wholesale activities rose 2.4 per cent, with the biggest increases recorded in food products, motor vehicles and building supplies. Meanwhile, a report Friday showed the U.S. economy grew at a bigger- than-expected 5.7 per cent in the fourth quarter € the fastest pace since 2003. That followed a 2.2 per cent annual rate of growth in the third quarter. On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund raised its 2010 growth outlook for Canada to 2.6 per cent from its previous estimate of 2.1 per cent. The IMF projection is close to the Bank of Canada's forecasts of 2.9 per cent expansion this year. The IMF's outlook for Canada in 2011 is unchanged at 3.6 per cent, which is in line with the central bank's 3.5 per cent outlook. "Canada was doing better than we were earlier led to believe, and that has GDP taking aim at a healthy four per cent pace for the fourth quarter of 2009," said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC World Markets Inc. "Upward revisions to September and October growth rates, alongside a surprising 0.4 per cent rise in November GDP, didn't quite put Canada on par with its American neighbours, but finally put production into better line with job gains over the past five months." The IMF also upgraded its U.S. outlook for 2010 to 2.7 per cent, but downgraded the forecast in 2011 to 2.4 per cent. "This is one of the most convincing signs that the recovery is for real that we have seen so far, and neatly dovetails with the robust U.S. GDP result," said BMO's Porter. --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05 * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2) |
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